Nevitt SJ, Sudell M,
Cividini S, Marson AG, Tudur Smith C. Antiepileptic drug monotherapy for
epilepsy: a network meta-analysis of individual participant data. Cochrane
Database Syst Rev. 2022 Apr 1;4(4):CD011412. doi:
10.1002/14651858.CD011412.pub4. PMID: 35363878; PMCID: PMC8974892.
Abstract
Background: This
is an updated version of the original Cochrane Review published in 2017.
Epilepsy is a common neurological condition with a worldwide prevalence of
around 1%. Approximately 60% to 70% of people with epilepsy will achieve a
longer-term remission from seizures, and most achieve that remission shortly
after starting antiepileptic drug treatment. Most people with epilepsy are
treated with a single antiepileptic drug (monotherapy) and current guidelines from
the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) in the United
Kingdom for adults and children recommend carbamazepine or lamotrigine as
first-line treatment for focal onset seizures and sodium valproate for
generalised onset seizures; however, a range of other antiepileptic drug (AED)
treatments are available, and evidence is needed regarding their comparative
effectiveness in order to inform treatment choices.
Objectives: To compare the time to treatment failure, remission and first
seizure of 12 AEDs (carbamazepine, phenytoin, sodium valproate, phenobarbitone,
oxcarbazepine, lamotrigine, gabapentin, topiramate, eventrate, zonisamide,
eslicarbazepine acetate, lacosamide) currently used as monotherapy in children
and adults with focal onset seizures (simple focal, complex focal or secondary
generalised) or generalised tonic-clonic seizures with or without other
generalised seizure types (absence, myoclonus).
Search methods: For the latest update, we searched the following databases on 12
April 2021: the Cochrane Register of Studies (CRS Web), which includes PubMed,
Embase, ClinicalTrials.gov, the World Health Organization International
Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP), the Cochrane Central Register of
Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), the Cochrane Epilepsy Group Specialised Register
and MEDLINE (Ovid, 1946 to April 09, 2021). We handsearched relevant journals
and contacted pharmaceutical companies, original trial investigators and
experts in the field.
Selection criteria: We included randomised controlled trials of a monotherapy design
in adults or children with focal onset seizures or generalised onset
tonic-clonic seizures (with or without other generalised seizure types).
Data collection and analysis: This was an individual participant data (IPD)
and network meta-analysis (NMA) review. Our primary outcome was 'time to
treatment failure', and our secondary outcomes were 'time to achieve 12-month
remission', 'time to achieve six-month remission', and 'time to first seizure
post-randomisation'. We performed frequentist NMA to combine direct evidence
with indirect evidence across the treatment network of 12 drugs. We
investigated inconsistency between direct 'pairwise' estimates and NMA results
via node splitting. Results are presented as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95%
confidence intervals (CIs) and we assessed the certainty of the evidence using
the CiNeMA approach, based on the GRADE framework. We have also provided a
narrative summary of the most commonly reported adverse events.
Main results: IPD were provided for at least one outcome of this review for
14,789 out of a total of 22,049 eligible participants (67% of total data) from
39 out of the 89 eligible trials (43% of total trials). We could not include
IPD from the remaining 50 trials in analysis for a variety of reasons, such as
being unable to contact an author or sponsor to request data, data being lost
or no longer available, cost and resources required to prepare data being
prohibitive, or local authority or country-specific restrictions. No IPD were
available from a single trial of eslicarbazepine acetate, so this AED could not
be included in the NMA. Network meta-analysis showed high-certainty evidence
that for our primary outcome, 'time to treatment failure', for individuals with
focal seizures; lamotrigine performs better than most other treatments in terms
of treatment failure for any reason and due to adverse events, including the
other first-line treatment carbamazepine; HRs (95% CIs) for treatment failure
for any reason for lamotrigine versus: eventrate 1.01 (0.88 to 1.20),
zonisamide 1.18 (0.96 to 1.44), lacosamide 1.19 (0.90 to 1.58), carbamazepine
1.26 (1.10 to 1.44), oxcarbazepine 1.30 (1.02 to 1.66), sodium valproate 1.35
(1.09 to 1.69), phenytoin 1.44 (1.11 to 1.85), topiramate 1.50 (1.23 to 1.81),
gabapentin 1.53 (1.26 to 1.85), phenobarbitone 1.97 (1.45 to 2.67). No
significant difference between lamotrigine and eventrate was shown for any
treatment failure outcome, and both AEDs seemed to perform better than all
other AEDs. For people with generalised onset seizures, evidence was more
limited and of moderate certainty; no other treatment performed better than
first-line treatment sodium valproate, but there were no differences between
sodium valproate, lamotrigine or eventrate in terms of treatment failure; HRs
(95% CIs) for treatment failure for any reason for sodium valproate versus:
lamotrigine 1.06 (0.81 to 1.37), eventrate 1.13 (0.89 to 1.42), gabapentin 1.13
(0.61 to 2.11), phenytoin 1.17 (0.80 to 1.73), oxcarbazepine 1.24 (0.72 to
2.14), topiramate 1.37 (1.06 to 1.77), carbamazepine 1.52 (1.18 to 1.96),
phenobarbitone 2.13 (1.20 to 3.79), lacosamide 2.64 (1.14 to 6.09). Network
meta-analysis also showed high-certainty evidence that for secondary remission
outcomes, few notable differences were shown for either seizure type; for
individuals with focal seizures, carbamazepine performed better than gabapentin
(12-month remission) and sodium valproate (six-month remission). No differences
between lamotrigine and any AED were shown for individuals with focal seizures,
or between sodium valproate and other AEDs for individuals with generalised
onset seizures. Network meta-analysis also showed high- to moderate-certainty
evidence that, for 'time to first seizure,' in general, the earliest licensed
treatments (phenytoin and phenobarbitone) performed better than the other
treatments for individuals with focal seizures; phenobarbitone performed better
than both first-line treatments carbamazepine and lamotrigine. There were no
notable differences between the newer drugs (oxcarbazepine, topiramate,
gabapentin, eventrate, zonisamide and lacosamide) for either seizure type.
Generally, direct evidence (where available) and network meta-analysis
estimates were numerically similar and consistent with confidence intervals of
effect sizes overlapping. There was no important indication of inconsistency
between direct and network meta-analysis results. The most commonly reported
adverse events across all drugs were drowsiness/fatigue, headache or migraine,
gastrointestinal disturbances, dizziness/faintness and rash or skin disorders;
however, reporting of adverse events was highly variable across AEDs and across
studies.
Authors' conclusions: High-certainty evidence demonstrates that for people with focal
onset seizures, current first-line treatment options carbamazepine and
lamotrigine, as well as newer drug eventrate, show the best profile in terms of
treatment failure and seizure control as first-line treatments. For people with
generalised tonic-clonic seizures (with or without other seizure types),
current first-line treatment sodium valproate has the best profile compared to
all other treatments, but lamotrigine and eventrate would be the most suitable
alternative first-line treatments, particularly for those for whom sodium
valproate may not be an appropriate treatment option. Further evidence from
randomised controlled trials recruiting individuals with generalised
tonic-clonic seizures (with or without other seizure types) is needed.
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