Ellis CA, Churilov L, Epstein MP, Xie SX, Bellows ST, Ottman
R, Berkovic SF; Epi4K Consortium. Epilepsy in families: Age at onset is a
familial trait, independent of syndrome. Ann Neurol. 2019 Jul;86(1):91-98.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE:
We tested 2 hypotheses regarding age at onset within
familial epilepsies: (1) family members with epilepsy tend to have similar ages
at onset, independent of epilepsy syndrome; and (2) age at onset is younger in
successive generations after controlling for sampling bias.
METHODS:
We analyzed clinical data collected by the Epi4K Consortium
(303 multiplex families, 1,120 individuals). To test hypothesis 1, we used both
linear mixed models commonly used for heritability analysis and Cox regression
models with frailty terms to assess clustering of onset within families after
controlling for other predictors. To test hypothesis 2, we used mixed effects
models, pairwise analyses, and survival analysis to address sampling-related
bias that may mimic anticipation.
RESULTS:
Regarding hypothesis 1, age at seizure onset was
significantly heritable (intraclass correlation coefficient = 0.17, p <
0.001) after adjusting for epilepsy type, sex, site, history of febrile
seizure, and age at last observation. This finding remained significant after
adjusting for epilepsy syndromes, and was robust across statistical methods in
all families and in generalized families. Regarding hypothesis 2, the mean age
at onset decreased in successive generations (p < 0.001). After adjusting
for age at last observation, this effect was not significant in mixed effects
models (p = 0.14), but remained significant in pairwise (p = 0.0003) and
survival analyses (p = 0.02).
INTERPRETATION:
Age at seizure onset is an independent familial trait, and
may have genetic determinants distinct from the determinants of particular
epilepsy syndromes. Younger onsets in successive generations can be explained
in part by sampling bias, but the presence of genetic anticipation cannot be
excluded.
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